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The Laws of Chance and How They Can Work for You Everyone who's had to get to grips with chance knows how tricky even its simplest manifestations can be. Its workings are a constant challenge to common sense: a run of luck goes bad just when you trust it; expert predictions of everything from the weather to elections prove hopelessly unreliable; proven health advice turns out to be anything but.  Award-winning scientist and writer Robert Matthews shows us how we can cut through the conundrums of chance. He gives us access to some of the most potent intellectual tools ever developed, and explains how we can use them to guide our judgements and decisions. By the end of the book you'll know: - The secret to predicting coincidences; - The golden rule of professional gamblers; - How to tell when insurance is a waste of money; - When to heed health and diet warnings - and when to ignore them; - How to tell when forecasts are worth taking seriously; - How to make better choices in the

Make your own luck by understanding probability Over the years, some very smart people have thought they understood the rules of chance?only to fail dismally. Whether you call it probability, risk, or uncertainty, the workings of chance often defy common sense. Fortunately, advances in math and science have revealed the laws of chance, and understanding those laws can help in your everyday life. In Chancing It, award-winning scientist and writer Robert Matthews shows how to understand the laws of probability and use them to your advantage. He gives you access to some of the most potent intellectual tools ever developed and explains how to use them to guide your judgments and decisions. By the end of the book, you will know:       How to understand and even predict coincidences     When an insurance policy is worth having     Why “expert” predictions are often misleading     How to tell when a scientific claim is a breakthrough or baloney     When it makes sense to place a bet on anythi